Gambler's fallacy | 就愛喝咖啡
![Gambler's fallacy](https://i.imgur.com/B2oemyF.jpg)
Gambler'sfallacyreferstoourbeliefthattheprobabilityofarandomeventoccurringinthefutureisinfluencedbythepasthistoryofthattypeofevent ...
![Gambler's fallacy](https://i.imgur.com/B2oemyF.jpg)
The Gambler’s fallacy stems from our tendency to assume that if a random event has occurred many times in the past, that it will occur more or less often in the future. We do this for several reasons. One of them is that we don’t like randomness. So, we try to rationalize random events to create an explanation and make them seem predictable.
We try to make sense of random eventsA random event is the product of chance. This makes it unpredictable. Some people find this exhilarating, but most of us find it unsettling. We like predictability, order, and explainability in most aspects of our lives.1 So, when a random event occurs or is set to happen, we try to rationalize it by finding patterns or indications in the history of events similar to it-- even when they aren’t actually related. This is a natural way for our mind to make sense of a chaotic world.
We think the few represents th...Gambler's fallacy | 就愛喝咖啡
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![](https://i.imgur.com/B2oemyF.jpg)
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